Time flies, 60 reminding us of scenes in a short span of six decades, the magnificent Korean War is already an instant before the events of the past half century has. Review of the 20th century in the 21st century, the Cold War period beginning 50′s early years, one of the shamisen worthy of fine chemicals. How to learn from history, experience and lessons learned to cope with an uncertain future, to avoid a repeat of the tragedy, perhaps today to discuss the Korean War should be the focus of this topic.
American scholar of international relations in the study Jervis’s “cognitive” and “cognitive error”, saying that incorrectly apply the historical experience and wishful thinking is the cause of the deviation of policy between countries because of misunderstanding and to the key to the war. Research and discussion in the course of the Korean War, how to avoid the “wrong perception” of the interference is especially important.
To avoid the interference of cognitive errors, the first is to avoid being entangled in some detail to an examination as well as entertainment, according to the mentality, to interpret the outbreak of the Korean War, such as land to dwell too much relish, “the first bullet is Where root out the barrel in firing “of such a proposition. Interpretation of this entertainment is reflected in the Western news “sensational reporting” of the classic characteristics and to the pursuit of misleading and even hide the details of the overall problem in depth.
Second, the way to avoid mechanical formalism applied with the geopolitical and national interests such abstract concepts, with some preconceived to discuss the complex and subjective cognitive strategic decision-making process specific. China, the United States, Russia, the three current major players in the Korean War, have opened around the 50s of the 20th century diplomacy, Stalin, Mao Zedong, Kim Il Sung, Zhou Enlai, Molotov and other top leaders of the top-secret telegram contacts have been presented in front of people. These new file documents, including all types of parties are oral, and sketched out a rich, detailed, complicated the Korean War, rather than a simple geo-political symbols.
Third, to avoid the kind of “hindsight” the wisdom from the particular historical environment in the 21st century with the formation of the international situation, some ideas, values, to analyze 50 years of the 20th century that very different time and space. 60 years ago, capitalism and the socialist camp incompatible with each other, Stalin’s “general crisis of capitalism” speech, was the Western media as a “third world war speech”, the basic conclusion is the ultimate showdown inevitable; in the United States the same anti-communist hysteria pervaded not only crazy politicians, and even in the Superman comics and other entertainment products, also reveal that ideological confrontation and madness.
In a sense, the ultimate head-on collision of Sino-US Korean War, is under the influence of ideological factors that era, each the result of cognitive errors: the MacArthur as the typical representative of the arrogance to underestimate the U.S. military to defend its new China strategic security of the political will to underestimate the weapons and equipment on an absolute disadvantage in the Chinese People’s Volunteers of the individual ability and tactical command and combat capabilities; just defeated in the war of liberation “to increase the aircraft artillery” of Chiang’s Liberation Army, were originally underestimated the number of the true sense of the brutality of modern mechanized warfare. In the end, these two countries have completely different ideologies, is gradually completed in the field of mutual awareness and understanding of the true original.
However, from another perspective, the Korean War Ye Hao, the Cold War worth mentioning, compared to today’s world, it is a certainty at least age, although there among the major powers on the battlefield to war and, ultimately, the risk of a showdown However, the risks faced by the entire international community is determined, the theme of war and peace occupy the dominant position of the status of each country’s strategic priorities are identified.
60 years later, large enough to result in a showdown triggered a nuclear war to destroy all of humanity, Zhebing sword of Damocles has ceased to exist, replaced by the uncertainties, however, the risk, but then the national and the international community a more serious harsh challenges. Has a special meaning that the Korean Peninsula nuclear issue as an opportunity, had fought with arms on the battlefield, the parties, now a suit sitting at the negotiating table, began within the framework of the six-party talks to discuss how “peaceful solution” problem. Despite the stimulation of various unexpected events, all the major countries to maintain the abnormal valuable eventually calm, and therefore the overall situation remains peaceful state. This calm, exercise restraint and resolve the problem through negotiations, the preferred choice, it should be is left of that war 60 years ago today the world’s most precious legacy.
